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Spring breakup, Yukon 2017 Photo G. Sim
Everyone can see that the world's climate is changing. One of the problems, even with people who accept this and are concerned about global warming, is that people seem to think that we can "fix" it. We cannot. The process is now well under way, and we cannot stop it. The ongoing "debate" about its cause or causes is thus meaningless, and putative solutions such as "going green" or starting to bicycle to work are equally meaningless. Think of it like this: we're on the edge of a cliff and have pushed a huge boulder over the edge of the cliff. The boulder is falling, crashing, smashing and destroying things as it falls. Not pushing more boulders over the edge of the cliff won't stop the damage that is already happening.
The real problem is people, the seven billion over-sized termites who are busy consuming this world. These termites continue to breed and multiply in a completely uncontrolled way, and are about to reach their peak population. Then will come the crash. These large termites require a lot of resources to live. They will continue to consume what is left of the earth’s resources at increasing speed, even as they choke in more and more of their own excrement and pollution. That's the future, and it is just getting filthier.
We can’t control our governments, and countries all over the world are in the hands of nutters and total whackos. It's been getting worse in recent years. Dictators are on the rise around the world: Russia, Syria, Brazil, Philippines, Belorus, Iran, Iraq, too many to mention.
After a couple of centuries of "progress" since the industrial revolution, the question is now applicable to everyone: "What have we wrought?" Ice is melting all over the globe, glaciers are disappearing, huge ice shelves are breaking off the Antarctic. In the past few years four major chunks of ice have broken off, totalling almost 3,400 square miles of ice. Ice is now breaking off about six times faster than it did a few years ago. It is estimated that if the East Antarctic ice sheet melts it will raise sea levels around the world by 175 feet. Greenland is now ringed by shores of burning peatmoss, as its ice sheet retreats. The soot and smoke from those fires is accelerating the melting. I predict that the entire remaining Greenland ice sheet will slither off into the ocean any day now. Scientists have started talking about the Gulf Stream being disrupted, in addition to all the hurricanes that have happened recently.
The last annual rise in sea level was measured at 1/4 inch, but it's just getting started, it is rising by an increasing amount every year. NASA estimates the oceans to rise 26 inches by the year 2100, but this shows a very small incremental growth in rise per year. That report also notes that this number is "almost certainly a conservative estimate."
Agreed. Let's do some arithmetic. At the current rise of 1/4 inch per year (with no annual increase) times 80 years to 2100, we'd have a sea level rise of 20 inches, using a straight line projection, which is only six inches less than NASA's (conservative) estimate. Even if the rate of rise increases by 1/16 inch per year (it is already increasing more than that), it would go from 1/4 inch annual rise to 5-1/4" inches annual rise in 2100. Average that over 80 years x 2.625 inches = minimum 200 inches by Sim prediction, call it seventeen feet global rise. Conservatively. Let's go wild and say that a number of other "conditions" help to accelerate the warming and the melting, and we go underwater a depth of 50 feet by 2100.
Rise | 25-yr AVG | 2019 | 2020 |
1/2" | |||
7/16" | |||
3/8" | |||
5/16" | |||
1/4" | |||
3/16" | |||
1/8" | |||
1/16" |
Once you head inland, fleeing the ocean's rise, any land not already desertified will soon be so either from fire or drought, i.e. the Amazon, northern Russia, Greenland, California, BC, northern Alberta, Australia, etc. Heat and drought records are being set everywhere, accompanied by crop failures and reduction of arable land, and has anyone noticed that there is an increasing number of super-hurricanes? The oceans are warming, driving fish towards the poles, even as we harvest them in ever increasing numbers, wiping out one “fish stock” after another. Huge "dead zones" are forming in the ocean, and new Sargasso seas of garbage are floating around. Fresh water is being consumed or disappearing all over the world, as the deserts continue their march to the poles. Countries and corporations are racing to "lock up" access to water, it won't be free anywhere in the world for much longer.
The Western USA is gripped by a drought that won't end, all rivers and reservoirs are at historic low levels. Soon dams won't be generating electricity, and farmers won't be watering crops. What's left will burn, and then everything will blow away.
There are few ways to proceed. One. Don’t believe any of this crap, and do nothing. You might as well, you can’t stop it. Two. Try to find a place to hide and stock up before everything falls apart. Three. Do everything possible in your own life to reduce consumption, knowing that it won’t make a bit of difference to global warming, but it will make you feel better about yourself. Four. Die. Encourage others to die. Encourage about 4,000,000,000 people to die, that would leave about as many of us alive as the earth can currently sustain. The party is over. Please try to behave nicely as you head for the exit.